Gambling With an Edge - guest Jason Pipkin

Our guest this week is  Jason Pipkin. Jason is a neuroscientist who gambles semi-professionally on elections at predictit.org.  

We welcome your questions - send them to us at gamblingwithanedge@gmail.com, or you can find me at @RWM21 on Twitter or https://www.facebook.com/GamblingWithAnEdge.

podcast
Click to listen - Alt click to download

Show Notes

[00:00]  Introduction of Jason Pipkin, frequent bettor at Predictit.org

[00:58]  How did Jason get started on Predictit.org?

[02:48]  Jason's background and predictingpolitics.com

[04:30]  Commissions and contract limits

[10:26]  Biden and Trump double max contract example

[12:35]  Liquidity and market efficiency

[14:35]  Can personal political biases affect profitability?

[16:04]  Arbitrage

[17:38]  Trading frequency

[18:45]  Volatility

[20:16]  Holding periods and exit strategy

[21:28]  Black swan betting

[23:08]  2016 Presidential election market strategies

[24:42]  FiveThirtyEight.com

[25:48]  Computer analysis and modeling

[26:59]  Predictit.org market forums

[28:40]  What percentage of bettors in political markets are profitable?

[31:24]  Straddles

[32:47]  Determinants of volatility

[36:12]  Foreign elections

[38:30]  South Point Casino September Promotions - $500,000 Guaranteed Money Madness

[39:22]  Predictit.org/promo/edge -  place small bets on various political events

[39:55]  BlackjackApprenticeship.com - card counting training site and community

[40:25]  VideoPoker.com/gwae - Gold Membership offers corrections on most games

[41:47]  Market suggestions

[43:20]  Similarities to options trading

[45:24]  Holding contracts until expiry

[48:39]  How can listeners contact Jason?

[49:10]  Discussing gambling in personal relationships

[50:28]  Recommended - MyNoise.net

Sponsored Links:

SouthPointCasino.com

Predictit.org/promo/edge

BlackjackApprenticeship.com

VideoPoker.com/gwae

Jason's Links:

PredictingPolitics.com

Twitter.com/jipkin

Recommended:

MyNoise.net

.